Cross-Tabs: July 2023 Times/Siena Poll of the 2024 Race and National Issues

Aug. 1, 2023

View the survey’s topline results among all voters and cross-tabs among the likely Republican primary electorate.

Do you think the United States is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Right track	23%	24%	21%	22%	20%	24%	25%	19%	28%	33%	25%	25%	21%	25%	16%	28%	30%	26%	27%	19%	20%	25%	24%	19%	22%	18%	28%	32%	6%	26%	20%	23%	25%	46%	7%	19%	39%	8%	40%	4%	23%
Wrong direction	65%	65%	65%	66%	68%	66%	62%	69%	54%	57%	63%	60%	68%	64%	73%	53%	60%	62%	62%	70%	62%	60%	62%	71%	66%	71%	56%	62%	86%	62%	67%	65%	64%	38%	89%	66%	46%	85%	44%	91%	64%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don't know/Refused	13%	11%	14%	12%	12%	10%	13%	11%	18%	10%	12%	15%	11%	11%	11%	19%	10%	12%	11%	10%	18%	15%	14%	9%	12%	11%	16%	6%	8%	13%	12%	12%	11%	16%	4%	15%	15%	7%	16%	5%	14%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly approve	18%	16%	20%	4%	9%	22%	30%	17%	35%	14%	11%	21%	17%	19%	16%	24%	18%	18%	21%	17%	17%	19%	20%	16%	13%	16%	23%	22%	5%	21%	13%	22%	20%	41%	2%	14%	35%	2%	39%	<.5%	8%
Somewhat approve	21%	19%	23%	32%	26%	18%	17%	19%	25%	27%	32%	26%	18%	26%	13%	27%	29%	21%	28%	17%	23%	31%	20%	17%	26%	18%	22%	23%	10%	24%	25%	16%	22%	33%	3%	25%	37%	6%	37%	4%	25%
Somewhat disapprove	12%	11%	12%	25%	17%	8%	5%	11%	16%	15%	11%	11%	12%	12%	10%	9%	17%	14%	5%	15%	10%	13%	14%	8%	13%	9%	15%	13%	6%	12%	14%	12%	11%	11%	8%	14%	10%	11%	13%	6%	20%
Strongly disapprove	42%	47%	37%	29%	37%	50%	45%	49%	10%	35%	36%	34%	47%	37%	57%	25%	29%	40%	40%	46%	40%	29%	39%	55%	44%	53%	28%	32%	76%	36%	40%	45%	41%	7%	84%	41%	8%	79%	4%	88%	34%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	6%	7%	10%	11%	3%	3%	5%	13%	9%	10%	9%	5%	5%	4%	16%	7%	7%	6%	6%	10%	8%	8%	4%	5%	4%	11%	11%	3%	7%	8%	5%	7%	8%	2%	6%	9%	2%	7%	2%	12%
NET approve	39%	35%	43%	36%	34%	40%	47%	35%	60%	41%	43%	47%	35%	45%	29%	50%	47%	39%	50%	34%	39%	50%	39%	33%	39%	34%	45%	45%	14%	44%	38%	38%	42%	74%	5%	39%	73%	8%	76%	4%	34%
NET disapprove	54%	58%	49%	54%	54%	58%	50%	60%	26%	50%	47%	45%	60%	49%	67%	34%	46%	54%	45%	60%	50%	42%	53%	63%	56%	62%	43%	44%	82%	48%	54%	57%	52%	18%	92%	55%	18%	90%	17%	94%	54%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump.
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	21%	25%	17%	19%	15%	23%	24%	24%	5%	16%	20%	14%	25%	13%	31%	12%	15%	18%	19%	23%	22%	11%	20%	29%	22%	26%	10%	23%	39%	17%	23%	21%	17%	4%	48%	15%	5%	39%	2%	47%	13%
Somewhat favorable	20%	22%	18%	20%	22%	22%	17%	21%	8%	19%	29%	14%	24%	15%	24%	12%	22%	22%	17%	21%	19%	15%	19%	23%	16%	25%	17%	16%	31%	17%	20%	21%	20%	5%	32%	20%	4%	36%	3%	36%	24%
Somewhat unfavorable	11%	13%	9%	10%	14%	11%	9%	10%	11%	16%	12%	13%	10%	13%	8%	11%	14%	8%	13%	12%	9%	12%	12%	9%	13%	10%	12%	6%	8%	11%	10%	10%	13%	12%	7%	13%	10%	12%	8%	10%	16%
Very unfavorable	44%	36%	52%	45%	46%	41%	48%	43%	64%	45%	33%	57%	36%	57%	34%	60%	42%	49%	45%	40%	46%	55%	44%	37%	46%	36%	55%	46%	18%	50%	41%	44%	48%	77%	10%	49%	79%	9%	84%	5%	38%
[VOL] Have not heard of	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	3%	5%	6%	4%	4%	3%	3%	12%	4%	6%	3%	5%	2%	3%	6%	8%	2%	6%	4%	5%	6%	5%	2%	2%	3%	6%	9%	4%	4%	7%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	9%
NET favorable	41%	48%	34%	38%	37%	44%	41%	44%	13%	36%	49%	27%	49%	28%	55%	23%	36%	40%	36%	44%	40%	27%	39%	52%	39%	51%	27%	39%	70%	35%	43%	42%	38%	9%	80%	35%	9%	75%	5%	83%	37%
NET unfavorable	55%	49%	61%	56%	59%	52%	57%	53%	75%	61%	45%	70%	46%	70%	42%	71%	56%	58%	58%	52%	55%	67%	56%	46%	59%	46%	67%	52%	26%	61%	50%	54%	61%	88%	17%	62%	89%	21%	92%	15%	54%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Ron DeSantis [Duh-SAN-Tis].
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	10%	13%	8%	8%	7%	14%	10%	12%	2%	9%	10%	10%	11%	10%	13%	8%	7%	9%	10%	14%	6%	5%	12%	12%	11%	14%	5%	10%	20%	9%	8%	10%	10%	3%	26%	6%	2%	20%	2%	23%	4%
Somewhat favorable	21%	25%	18%	18%	20%	21%	25%	25%	6%	16%	21%	17%	24%	20%	28%	11%	16%	23%	18%	25%	16%	15%	19%	28%	24%	26%	14%	18%	40%	18%	22%	22%	22%	8%	39%	21%	6%	39%	4%	41%	19%
Somewhat unfavorable	12%	13%	11%	8%	13%	15%	11%	14%	9%	11%	5%	11%	13%	14%	14%	7%	10%	16%	9%	11%	13%	16%	9%	14%	10%	13%	14%	8%	16%	11%	12%	14%	13%	14%	12%	9%	13%	12%	12%	10%	17%
Very unfavorable	36%	33%	38%	41%	39%	29%	37%	33%	60%	30%	36%	50%	27%	46%	24%	55%	34%	32%	40%	34%	38%	45%	38%	26%	35%	30%	42%	44%	9%	41%	30%	33%	43%	57%	9%	43%	63%	9%	69%	7%	16%
[VOL] Have not heard of	8%	6%	9%	10%	9%	9%	4%	5%	5%	16%	13%	3%	11%	2%	8%	8%	13%	5%	8%	5%	14%	6%	9%	7%	8%	7%	9%	6%	5%	8%	10%	7%	5%	7%	4%	8%	6%	6%	3%	6%	19%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	13%	11%	16%	16%	13%	11%	13%	11%	18%	17%	16%	9%	16%	8%	13%	11%	21%	15%	15%	12%	12%	13%	13%	13%	13%	10%	15%	13%	10%	14%	18%	14%	7%	11%	10%	12%	10%	13%	10%	12%	25%
NET favorable	31%	38%	25%	26%	26%	35%	35%	37%	8%	26%	30%	27%	34%	31%	41%	20%	22%	32%	29%	39%	22%	19%	31%	40%	34%	40%	19%	28%	60%	27%	29%	33%	32%	11%	65%	27%	8%	59%	6%	64%	23%
NET unfavorable	48%	45%	50%	49%	52%	45%	47%	47%	69%	41%	41%	61%	39%	59%	38%	62%	43%	48%	49%	44%	51%	61%	47%	40%	45%	43%	56%	52%	26%	52%	42%	47%	56%	71%	21%	53%	76%	21%	81%	18%	33%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden.
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	17%	13%	21%	4%	9%	19%	29%	15%	35%	14%	11%	20%	15%	19%	13%	22%	19%	16%	20%	17%	14%	15%	19%	15%	16%	15%	20%	16%	5%	19%	13%	20%	16%	39%	3%	12%	33%	2%	38%	<1%	5%
Somewhat favorable	26%	26%	26%	44%	28%	21%	21%	21%	40%	32%	35%	30%	23%	28%	16%	36%	35%	25%	29%	21%	31%	40%	27%	15%	26%	21%	31%	31%	8%	28%	28%	21%	30%	44%	4%	30%	44%	7%	45%	3%	30%
Somewhat unfavorable	16%	16%	15%	26%	28%	11%	4%	16%	13%	19%	16%	16%	15%	17%	15%	15%	17%	17%	9%	18%	16%	15%	15%	16%	12%	13%	23%	13%	16%	16%	17%	17%	14%	9%	14%	20%	14%	16%	11%	13%	31%
Very unfavorable	38%	43%	34%	23%	32%	46%	43%	46%	4%	30%	35%	31%	43%	34%	54%	23%	23%	39%	37%	41%	35%	26%	35%	51%	42%	50%	21%	35%	69%	33%	37%	40%	38%	5%	78%	35%	5%	74%	4%	82%	27%
[VOL] Have not heard of	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	8%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	5%	3%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	1%	6%	6%	1%	4%	5%	2%	2%	2%	1%	4%	3%	1%	2%	3%	6%
NET favorable	43%	38%	47%	49%	37%	40%	50%	36%	75%	46%	46%	50%	38%	47%	29%	58%	54%	41%	49%	38%	45%	55%	46%	30%	41%	37%	50%	47%	14%	48%	40%	41%	46%	83%	7%	41%	77%	8%	83%	3%	35%
NET unfavorable	54%	59%	49%	49%	60%	57%	47%	61%	17%	49%	52%	47%	58%	51%	68%	38%	40%	55%	46%	59%	52%	42%	50%	67%	54%	62%	44%	47%	85%	48%	54%	57%	52%	14%	92%	55%	19%	90%	15%	94%	58%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(SPLIT A) Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Mike Pence.
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	5%	3%	<1%	8%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	6%	2%	4%	6%	1%	3%	<1%	5%	3%	2%	3%	3%	7%	5%	3%	2%	6%	2%	1%	7%	3%	<1%	6%	1%	5%	4%
Somewhat favorable	23%	27%	20%	21%	19%	26%	24%	27%	10%	13%	22%	18%	27%	24%	29%	7%	20%	23%	24%	26%	18%	15%	24%	28%	30%	26%	12%	23%	40%	20%	27%	22%	20%	12%	39%	22%	11%	34%	11%	38%	24%
Somewhat unfavorable	28%	26%	31%	33%	31%	25%	25%	29%	33%	27%	22%	27%	29%	29%	30%	26%	29%	28%	24%	33%	23%	27%	31%	26%	29%	32%	25%	26%	28%	28%	26%	25%	32%	30%	24%	28%	33%	25%	34%	21%	31%
Very unfavorable	30%	31%	28%	29%	26%	34%	32%	31%	33%	27%	22%	37%	25%	37%	27%	37%	21%	27%	25%	31%	38%	38%	25%	32%	22%	25%	42%	35%	14%	33%	27%	30%	34%	40%	19%	31%	42%	20%	42%	23%	20%
[VOL] Have not heard of	4%	2%	6%	1%	4%	5%	2%	<1%	8%	7%	18%	4%	4%	<.5%	<1%	11%	10%	3%	7%	3%	3%	7%	3%	2%	6%	3%	5%	2%	<.5%	4%	8%	2%	2%	6%	1%	4%	4%	2%	4%	3%	6%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	12%	11%	12%	12%	19%	7%	11%	10%	14%	18%	14%	10%	13%	7%	11%	12%	18%	16%	13%	7%	15%	11%	13%	10%	12%	11%	14%	7%	12%	12%	10%	16%	10%	11%	9%	12%	9%	12%	8%	10%	16%
NET favorable	26%	30%	22%	24%	21%	28%	30%	30%	11%	21%	24%	22%	29%	27%	32%	14%	21%	26%	31%	27%	21%	16%	29%	30%	32%	30%	14%	30%	45%	23%	29%	28%	22%	13%	47%	25%	12%	40%	12%	43%	28%
NET unfavorable	58%	57%	60%	63%	56%	59%	57%	60%	67%	54%	44%	64%	54%	65%	57%	63%	50%	55%	49%	64%	61%	66%	55%	57%	50%	57%	67%	61%	42%	61%	53%	55%	66%	71%	43%	59%	75%	45%	76%	44%	51%
Number of respondents	658	315	335	63	139	222	214	476	50	64	46	313	344	217	258	83	77	141	128	249	140	119	262	277	143	314	138	49	144	476	158	192	231	116	277	203	194	408	182	355	88
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	50%	15%	23%	31%	27%	66%	11%	11%	8%	42%	58%	27%	39%	14%	18%	21%	22%	37%	20%	23%	43%	34%	21%	40%	28%	9%	17%	77%	29%	27%	36%	29%	26%	32%	45%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(SPLIT A) Tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very favorable	8%	5%	11%	6%	9%	8%	7%	7%	8%	13%	8%	6%	9%	3%	10%	12%	8%	5%	14%	5%	9%	8%	9%	7%	12%	6%	8%	10%	8%	8%	10%	5%	9%	6%	13%	5%	5%	11%	4%	13%	10%
Somewhat favorable	30%	34%	27%	39%	27%	31%	25%	30%	35%	29%	29%	25%	34%	25%	34%	24%	36%	27%	18%	39%	31%	26%	32%	31%	34%	34%	22%	34%	41%	27%	36%	32%	24%	22%	42%	28%	17%	44%	18%	42%	35%
Somewhat unfavorable	15%	14%	17%	16%	11%	18%	17%	14%	18%	19%	18%	21%	11%	18%	11%	26%	12%	15%	16%	15%	15%	21%	12%	15%	15%	15%	15%	18%	15%	15%	17%	13%	16%	22%	14%	12%	20%	11%	20%	11%	13%
Very unfavorable	19%	20%	18%	6%	16%	20%	28%	23%	11%	11%	12%	25%	14%	33%	15%	12%	10%	16%	19%	19%	21%	19%	19%	18%	14%	19%	22%	20%	13%	21%	10%	20%	25%	26%	7%	25%	33%	7%	37%	7%	3%
[VOL] Have not heard of	10%	9%	9%	7%	16%	6%	7%	9%	7%	11%	19%	11%	9%	10%	8%	13%	11%	8%	7%	12%	10%	8%	8%	12%	11%	8%	10%	6%	7%	10%	12%	8%	9%	7%	8%	11%	8%	9%	7%	9%	19%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	18%	18%	19%	26%	21%	17%	15%	18%	22%	17%	14%	12%	23%	11%	22%	13%	22%	28%	25%	10%	15%	18%	20%	16%	15%	19%	23%	11%	16%	18%	16%	23%	16%	17%	16%	19%	16%	19%	14%	18%	21%
NET favorable	38%	39%	38%	45%	36%	39%	32%	37%	43%	42%	37%	31%	43%	28%	43%	36%	45%	33%	32%	44%	40%	34%	41%	38%	46%	40%	29%	44%	49%	36%	46%	37%	34%	28%	55%	33%	22%	54%	22%	55%	44%
NET unfavorable	34%	34%	35%	22%	27%	38%	45%	37%	28%	30%	30%	46%	25%	51%	26%	38%	23%	31%	35%	34%	36%	40%	31%	33%	29%	34%	37%	38%	28%	36%	26%	33%	42%	48%	21%	37%	53%	18%	57%	19%	16%
Number of respondents	658	315	335	63	139	222	214	476	50	64	46	313	344	217	258	83	77	141	128	249	140	119	262	277	143	314	138	49	144	476	158	192	231	116	277	203	194	408	182	355	88
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	50%	15%	23%	31%	27%	66%	11%	11%	8%	42%	58%	27%	39%	14%	18%	21%	22%	37%	20%	23%	43%	34%	21%	40%	28%	9%	17%	77%	29%	27%	36%	29%	26%	32%	45%	45%	41%	37%	17%

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat	43%	36%	49%	47%	42%	39%	48%	39%	71%	41%	47%	54%	36%	51%	30%	59%	49%	46%	45%	39%	45%	54%	45%	34%	40%	35%	51%	58%	13%	49%	40%	41%	47%	83%	5%	42%	81%	7%	87%	2%	31%
Donald Trump, the Republican	43%	50%	37%	37%	39%	48%	43%	49%	12%	38%	41%	32%	49%	36%	59%	26%	33%	42%	38%	47%	41%	29%	40%	55%	43%	53%	30%	36%	75%	37%	44%	44%	41%	7%	88%	37%	7%	83%	2%	91%	37%
[VOL] Another candidate	4%	5%	4%	<1%	8%	5%	2%	4%	2%	8%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	6%	4%	2%	6%	3%	6%	3%	6%	3%	6%	3%	6%	3%	4%	4%	4%	5%	5%	3%	2%	7%	4%	4%	4%	3%	7%
[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those were the choices	6%	6%	7%	9%	8%	5%	4%	5%	9%	8%	8%	6%	6%	6%	4%	6%	10%	5%	7%	6%	6%	9%	6%	5%	9%	5%	8%	2%	3%	7%	8%	7%	3%	3%	3%	9%	4%	4%	5%	2%	16%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	4%	3%	4%	6%	3%	3%	3%	4%	6%	5%	0%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	5%	2%	5%	4%	3%	2%	4%	5%	0%	5%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	1%	5%	4%	2%	2%	2%	8%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Democrat	29%	20%	37%	31%	26%	28%	33%	24%	45%	45%	26%	35%	25%	33%	18%	40%	40%	27%	33%	24%	33%	36%	28%	24%	31%	26%	32%	29%	7%	32%	31%	32%	29%	100%	0%	0%	62%	0%	55%	4%	25%
Republican	27%	31%	23%	20%	19%	31%	33%	33%	5%	20%	21%	21%	30%	26%	37%	10%	18%	27%	23%	28%	28%	19%	25%	35%	28%	36%	14%	23%	53%	22%	28%	24%	27%	0%	100%	0%	0%	60%	4%	60%	12%
Independent	34%	38%	29%	35%	38%	34%	29%	34%	33%	28%	32%	37%	32%	34%	34%	40%	26%	31%	36%	37%	29%	35%	36%	29%	35%	29%	39%	30%	28%	35%	29%	34%	36%	0%	0%	100%	31%	31%	34%	29%	40%
Another party	5%	5%	5%	11%	8%	3%	<1%	4%	8%	4%	10%	4%	5%	4%	5%	6%	7%	8%	<1%	6%	3%	2%	5%	7%	<1%	5%	8%	6%	7%	5%	6%	5%	4%	0%	0%	0%	5%	4%	3%	3%	10%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	6%	5%	3%	8%	5%	4%	5%	8%	3%	12%	3%	8%	3%	6%	4%	9%	6%	8%	4%	6%	8%	6%	5%	5%	4%	7%	11%	5%	6%	7%	5%	4%	0%	0%	0%	2%	5%	4%	5%	13%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(If independent, another party, or don't know on partisanship) And as of today, do you lean more to:
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	40%	39%	41%	37%	41%	35%	51%	37%	54%	47%	40%	47%	35%	49%	31%	47%	48%	37%	40%	38%	44%	47%	45%	26%	39%	32%	45%	54%	18%	45%	38%	34%	44%	-	-	42%	100%	0%	74%	8%	31%
The Republican Party	41%	44%	36%	45%	39%	47%	37%	46%	20%	34%	34%	34%	45%	40%	50%	22%	33%	39%	42%	46%	32%	26%	36%	58%	39%	58%	30%	24%	74%	35%	34%	51%	43%	-	-	41%	0%	100%	10%	81%	40%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	20%	16%	23%	18%	20%	19%	13%	16%	25%	19%	25%	20%	20%	11%	19%	31%	18%	23%	18%	16%	24%	27%	18%	16%	22%	10%	25%	23%	8%	20%	28%	15%	13%	-	-	17%	0%	0%	16%	12%	29%
Number of respondents	533	277	247	58	140	174	135	358	38	62	50	254	278	170	187	70	80	127	98	204	104	109	227	197	110	208	157	41	91	405	121	154	191			426	157	279	150	232	107
Percent of total electorate	100%	53%	46%	16%	29%	29%	20%	64%	12%	10%	10%	38%	61%	24%	40%	13%	20%	22%	20%	38%	20%	23%	45%	32%	18%	34%	35%	9%	14%	81%	28%	27%	34%			76%	40%	41%	37%	30%	25%

Combined: Party ID and leaners
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
The Democratic Party	46%	39%	53%	50%	48%	42%	50%	40%	72%	62%	47%	55%	41%	53%	32%	63%	60%	44%	51%	42%	51%	58%	50%	35%	47%	38%	57%	55%	14%	53%	46%	47%	48%	100%	0%	42%	100%	0%	85%	7%	44%
The Republican Party	45%	53%	38%	41%	41%	50%	46%	53%	15%	32%	39%	36%	50%	43%	60%	22%	32%	45%	41%	50%	40%	30%	42%	58%	44%	58%	30%	35%	83%	38%	42%	47%	46%	0%	100%	41%	0%	100%	8%	89%	37%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	8%	9%	9%	11%	8%	4%	7%	13%	7%	14%	9%	9%	4%	9%	15%	8%	11%	8%	8%	9%	12%	9%	7%	9%	4%	13%	11%	3%	9%	12%	7%	6%	0%	0%	17%	0%	0%	7%	4%	18%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(Split A) Thinking about the nation's economy, how would you rate economic conditions today?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Excellent	2%	3%	<1%	<1%	0%	4%	3%	2%	<1%	4%	0%	4%	<1%	3%	1%	4%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	3%	<.5%	3%	4%	<.5%	4%	0%	<1%
Good	18%	19%	17%	8%	17%	19%	24%	18%	21%	16%	10%	24%	13%	29%	10%	16%	17%	16%	22%	12%	26%	19%	20%	14%	12%	15%	29%	14%	4%	20%	12%	21%	22%	35%	6%	17%	32%	6%	33%	5%	11%
Only fair	29%	31%	29%	27%	28%	31%	33%	28%	49%	31%	19%	31%	29%	30%	27%	33%	34%	35%	29%	32%	19%	31%	30%	28%	32%	28%	26%	42%	20%	32%	30%	31%	31%	36%	22%	32%	37%	24%	38%	23%	22%
Poor	49%	47%	51%	64%	54%	46%	39%	51%	27%	47%	67%	40%	56%	37%	60%	44%	47%	46%	46%	49%	55%	46%	48%	52%	52%	55%	40%	43%	75%	44%	56%	47%	45%	25%	72%	44%	26%	70%	25%	72%	59%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	0%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	3%	0%	<1%	<1%	3%	2%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	2%	2%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	4%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	8%
Number of respondents	658	315	335	63	139	222	214	476	50	64	46	313	344	217	258	83	77	141	128	249	140	119	262	277	143	314	138	49	144	476	158	192	231	116	277	203	194	408	182	355	88
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	50%	15%	23%	31%	27%	66%	11%	11%	8%	42%	58%	27%	39%	14%	18%	21%	22%	37%	20%	23%	43%	34%	21%	40%	28%	9%	17%	77%	29%	27%	36%	29%	26%	32%	45%	45%	41%	37%	17%

I know it's a very long way away, but in the 2024 presidential primaries and caucuses, do you think you will vote in the Republican primary or the Democratic primary, or are you unlikely to vote in a presidential primary or caucus?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Democratic primary	36%	28%	44%	44%	37%	30%	40%	31%	72%	38%	37%	46%	30%	43%	23%	57%	44%	33%	42%	35%	37%	42%	39%	28%	36%	30%	42%	48%	9%	42%	37%	36%	39%	81%	<.5%	31%	73%	3%	71%	5%	24%
Republican primary	37%	42%	33%	22%	31%	46%	42%	45%	5%	28%	33%	29%	42%	34%	52%	17%	24%	39%	30%	39%	38%	25%	33%	50%	37%	50%	21%	34%	72%	31%	32%	38%	39%	3%	89%	27%	4%	76%	7%	78%	22%
Unlikely to vote in primary or caucus	18%	22%	14%	32%	20%	16%	10%	16%	16%	24%	22%	18%	18%	18%	15%	18%	22%	20%	17%	20%	14%	18%	21%	14%	19%	15%	25%	8%	12%	19%	21%	16%	16%	11%	8%	30%	14%	16%	15%	9%	41%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	8%	9%	2%	12%	9%	8%	8%	7%	10%	8%	6%	11%	5%	10%	8%	9%	8%	11%	6%	12%	15%	7%	7%	8%	6%	12%	11%	7%	8%	10%	9%	6%	5%	3%	12%	8%	6%	7%	8%	13%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(If Republican primary voter) Thinking ahead to the Republican primary election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote or not at all likely to vote?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Almost certain	40%	40%	41%	40%	37%	37%	45%	41%	53%	35%	44%	50%	36%	48%	38%	57%	33%	45%	52%	34%	39%	36%	41%	41%	51%	39%	37%	38%	35%	44%	38%	39%	44%	28%	42%	37%	35%	41%	39%	44%	19%
Very likely	47%	47%	47%	46%	48%	49%	45%	46%	35%	50%	52%	43%	49%	44%	48%	41%	53%	38%	40%	55%	49%	48%	48%	46%	44%	48%	44%	52%	48%	47%	43%	52%	44%	47%	49%	51%	43%	47%	42%	49%	42%
Somewhat likely	10%	10%	11%	14%	10%	12%	9%	10%	12%	15%	4%	6%	13%	7%	12%	2%	13%	14%	6%	11%	10%	15%	10%	9%	5%	11%	17%	8%	14%	9%	18%	8%	8%	24%	8%	9%	21%	10%	17%	7%	30%
Not very likely	<1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	<.5%	3%	0%	1%	0%	<1%	4%
Not at all likely	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Already voted	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	<1%	1%	<.5%	0%	3%	<1%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	1%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	2%	3%	<.5%	0%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<.5%	5%
Number of respondents	752	389	356	49	142	276	260	609	12	64	50	303	447	249	358	44	82	163	125	286	178	96	279	377	152	426	111	49	249	469	164	214	291	12	515	180	32	704	50	617	54
Percent of total electorate	100%	54%	45%	9%	19%	38%	30%	79%	2%	10%	8%	30%	69%	24%	55%	5%	14%	23%	16%	37%	23%	15%	38%	47%	20%	54%	17%	8%	31%	65%	26%	28%	36%	3%	65%	25%	6%	92%	8%	77%	10%

What is the highest educational level that you have completed?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Grade school	3%	4%	2%	0%	3%	1%	6%	3%	<.5%	7%	3%	0%	5%	0%	4%	0%	6%	2%	4%	2%	5%	3%	2%	4%	5%	2%	3%	3%	<1%	4%	7%	1%	1%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	6%
High school	27%	28%	27%	44%	12%	30%	28%	25%	28%	38%	25%	0%	45%	0%	43%	0%	49%	31%	23%	27%	26%	27%	25%	30%	28%	27%	27%	29%	28%	27%	42%	24%	15%	24%	31%	24%	23%	32%	20%	28%	43%
Vocational or trade school	4%	5%	3%	5%	4%	4%	5%	6%	<1%	4%	<.5%	0%	7%	0%	9%	0%	3%	7%	5%	3%	3%	2%	4%	6%	6%	5%	3%	<1%	8%	4%	5%	5%	3%	1%	6%	6%	2%	6%	2%	6%	5%
Some college, no degree	17%	18%	17%	12%	17%	17%	21%	19%	14%	9%	20%	0%	28%	0%	31%	0%	21%	20%	14%	16%	19%	14%	17%	19%	15%	18%	16%	20%	24%	15%	18%	20%	15%	14%	20%	16%	15%	19%	15%	21%	14%
Associate’s degree	9%	6%	13%	9%	14%	9%	7%	7%	14%	15%	13%	0%	16%	0%	12%	0%	22%	9%	6%	12%	9%	8%	12%	8%	9%	10%	10%	7%	9%	10%	10%	11%	7%	10%	9%	9%	10%	9%	9%	11%	9%
Bachelor's degree	24%	24%	23%	23%	36%	21%	17%	24%	26%	17%	30%	61%	0%	60%	0%	66%	0%	20%	26%	24%	24%	27%	25%	21%	24%	23%	25%	21%	20%	25%	14%	25%	34%	28%	20%	25%	26%	21%	29%	21%	16%
Graduate or professional degree	15%	15%	15%	7%	14%	18%	17%	16%	17%	10%	10%	39%	0%	40%	0%	34%	0%	11%	22%	15%	12%	18%	15%	13%	13%	15%	15%	19%	11%	16%	5%	14%	24%	19%	11%	18%	20%	11%	23%	10%	8%
[VOL] Refused	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(Asked of Democratic primary voters) If the election for Democratic nominee for president were held today, which candidate would you be most likely to vote for?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Joe Biden	64%	66%	63%	34%	43%	74%	90%	68%	75%	52%	33%	66%	62%	69%	65%	59%	59%	61%	70%	63%	62%	55%	66%	69%	60%	75%	60%	46%	55%	65%	62%	72%	58%	71%	0%	54%	67%	15%	69%	26%	42%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	13%	15%	13%	13%	21%	14%	8%	9%	15%	22%	23%	13%	14%	8%	12%	22%	16%	7%	14%	15%	15%	12%	18%	7%	21%	9%	12%	17%	29%	13%	15%	6%	19%	10%	100%	20%	11%	76%	10%	71%	19%
Marianne Williamson	10%	5%	12%	27%	15%	3%	<1%	9%	3%	21%	15%	10%	9%	11%	7%	11%	11%	16%	9%	6%	11%	11%	9%	10%	11%	6%	10%	18%	16%	9%	16%	8%	7%	10%	0%	6%	10%	0%	8%	2%	22%
[VOL] Someone else (specify)	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%	2%	0%	2%	0%	3%	0%	3%	0%	3%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	3%	0%	2%	0%	0%	3%	3%	0%	1%	0%	3%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	12%	13%	11%	26%	17%	7%	2%	13%	7%	2%	29%	8%	15%	9%	17%	6%	13%	16%	7%	13%	11%	18%	8%	12%	7%	9%	15%	16%	0%	11%	8%	11%	14%	9%	0%	19%	12%	9%	11%	1%	17%
Number of respondents	296	106	187	41	65	83	98	172	59	37	23	172	123	108	63	61	58	62	61	107	66	76	124	96	56	113	91	29	16	266	83	77	114	186	2	90	271	14	232	18	33
Percent of total electorate	100%	37%	62%	18%	24%	25%	30%	55%	21%	14%	9%	50%	50%	31%	24%	18%	25%	19%	24%	34%	23%	27%	47%	27%	20%	33%	34%	11%	4%	91%	30%	27%	37%	65%	0%	29%	94%	3%	79%	5%	12%

(Asked of Democratic primary voters) Regardless of who you prefer in the Democratic primary, do you think the Democratic Party should renominate Joe Biden as the party's candidate for president in 2024, or do you think the party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2024?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Nominate Joe Biden as 2024 presidential candidate	45%	50%	43%	17%	31%	52%	70%	50%	50%	38%	17%	44%	47%	49%	51%	34%	43%	48%	53%	49%	31%	35%	48%	51%	45%	50%	44%	30%	30%	47%	44%	58%	36%	53%	37%	32%	48%	18%	49%	18%	28%
Nominate a different person as 2024 presidential candidate	50%	50%	49%	80%	63%	44%	25%	44%	47%	62%	71%	49%	50%	43%	47%	62%	53%	49%	41%	47%	61%	62%	45%	45%	50%	45%	50%	68%	62%	48%	52%	35%	61%	42%	63%	60%	47%	82%	46%	82%	66%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	<.5%	8%	3%	6%	4%	6%	6%	2%	0%	12%	7%	3%	8%	2%	4%	4%	3%	6%	4%	8%	3%	7%	4%	5%	6%	6%	2%	7%	5%	4%	6%	3%	5%	0%	7%	5%	0%	4%	0%	6%
Number of respondents	296	106	187	41	65	83	98	172	59	37	23	172	123	108	63	61	58	62	61	107	66	76	124	96	56	113	91	29	16	266	83	77	114	186	2	90	271	14	232	18	33
Percent of total electorate	100%	37%	62%	18%	24%	25%	30%	55%	21%	14%	9%	50%	50%	31%	24%	18%	25%	19%	24%	34%	23%	27%	47%	27%	20%	33%	34%	11%	4%	91%	30%	27%	37%	65%	0%	29%	94%	3%	79%	5%	12%

(Asked of Democratic primary voters) (If wants someone other than Biden) In a few words, what's the MOST important reason you would prefer someone other than Joe Biden to be the Democratic Party's 2024 presidential nominee?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
[VOL] Age	39%	44%	37%	40%	22%	51%	57%	41%	49%	27%	32%	41%	37%	47%	35%	35%	39%	37%	41%	39%	40%	35%	45%	35%	30%	57%	34%	26%	49%	39%	38%	38%	42%	43%	0%	38%	41%	31%	42%	25%	34%
[VOL] Mental acuity	5%	3%	7%	4%	12%	<.5%	4%	10%	<1%	<1%	0%	6%	5%	11%	10%	<.5%	<.5%	8%	2%	11%	<.5%	3%	4%	11%	3%	4%	3%	17%	26%	5%	6%	10%	4%	4%	0%	2%	5%	0%	5%	16%	2%
[VOL] Job performance / not doing a good job	20%	33%	14%	13%	37%	5%	29%	16%	16%	21%	45%	22%	19%	13%	20%	33%	18%	8%	36%	24%	15%	13%	29%	16%	33%	11%	25%	13%	12%	19%	17%	25%	21%	15%	0%	28%	17%	60%	18%	44%	18%
[VOL] Views on domestic issues	6%	3%	8%	15%	4%	3%	0%	5%	13%	7%	0%	4%	8%	2%	9%	7%	7%	10%	0%	8%	7%	10%	2%	9%	0%	13%	5%	5%	6%	5%	13%	4%	2%	5%	100%	9%	4%	9%	5%	4%	13%
[VOL] Not progressive enough	4%	0%	7%	4%	3%	3%	0%	4%	2%	11%	0%	3%	5%	2%	6%	5%	4%	6%	0%	2%	8%	3%	3%	8%	3%	0%	10%	0%	0%	5%	4%	0%	6%	2%	0%	2%	5%	0%	2%	0%	16%
[VOL] Ability to win the general election	4%	3%	5%	0%	4%	12%	2%	8%	0%	0%	0%	6%	2%	12%	5%	0%	0%	9%	8%	0%	3%	3%	4%	6%	9%	3%	2%	6%	6%	4%	3%	0%	6%	4%	0%	6%	5%	0%	6%	0%	0%
[VOL] Other (specify)	4%	6%	2%	2%	4%	11%	0%	4%	0%	0%	14%	4%	5%	0%	9%	8%	0%	5%	0%	0%	12%	10%	1%	2%	0%	2%	2%	22%	0%	4%	4%	3%	6%	8%	0%	0%	5%	0%	6%	0%	0%
[VOL] Prefer someone new	14%	8%	19%	20%	14%	15%	2%	10%	19%	26%	9%	11%	18%	14%	6%	7%	28%	17%	12%	15%	14%	22%	12%	9%	19%	10%	16%	12%	0%	16%	15%	12%	12%	18%	0%	12%	16%	0%	14%	11%	17%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	2%	1%	2%	<.5%	0%	6%	0%	<.5%	8%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	4%	2%	0%	<.5%	3%	2%	2%	<.5%	4%	3%	<.5%	3%	0%	0%	2%	0%	7%	<.5%	1%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%	0%
Number of respondents	141	50	89	32	43	36	26	77	24	25	13	82	59	49	28	33	29	31	25	46	39	42	57	42	29	49	45	16	9	125	40	29	64	76	1	51	120	11	100	15	21
Percent of total electorate	100%	37%	62%	29%	31%	23%	15%	50%	20%	17%	12%	49%	51%	27%	23%	22%	27%	19%	20%	32%	29%	33%	43%	24%	20%	30%	34%	15%	5%	89%	32%	19%	45%	55%	0%	35%	89%	5%	74%	8%	16%

(Asked of Democratic primary voters) What comes closest to how you would feel if Joe Biden were the Democratic nominee for president?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Enthusiastic	20%	19%	20%	9%	7%	26%	32%	21%	29%	12%	3%	21%	19%	22%	19%	16%	20%	14%	19%	24%	20%	14%	23%	22%	20%	23%	20%	7%	6%	20%	18%	23%	19%	26%	37%	8%	21%	14%	22%	29%	4%
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic	51%	51%	50%	46%	41%	58%	56%	53%	49%	45%	48%	45%	57%	46%	62%	43%	50%	60%	50%	43%	55%	57%	44%	56%	49%	53%	50%	53%	56%	52%	55%	54%	44%	52%	0%	51%	53%	6%	53%	4%	55%
Dissatisfied, but not upset	23%	24%	23%	40%	40%	13%	8%	20%	21%	35%	32%	27%	19%	26%	12%	30%	26%	17%	25%	29%	17%	24%	26%	17%	26%	20%	24%	24%	27%	22%	20%	19%	31%	17%	63%	35%	21%	64%	23%	18%	30%
Upset	5%	4%	5%	5%	9%	3%	3%	4%	0%	7%	17%	6%	3%	4%	4%	9%	3%	4%	6%	4%	5%	3%	5%	5%	4%	4%	4%	10%	12%	5%	5%	4%	5%	2%	0%	6%	3%	16%	1%	48%	9%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	0%	2%	<1%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	2%	3%	<1%	<1%	5%	0%	0%	4%	2%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	5%	0%	1%	3%	<1%	<.5%	3%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	2%
Number of respondents	296	106	187	41	65	83	98	172	59	37	23	172	123	108	63	61	58	62	61	107	66	76	124	96	56	113	91	29	16	266	83	77	114	186	2	90	271	14	232	18	33
Percent of total electorate	100%	37%	62%	18%	24%	25%	30%	55%	21%	14%	9%	50%	50%	31%	24%	18%	25%	19%	24%	34%	23%	27%	47%	27%	20%	33%	34%	11%	4%	91%	30%	27%	37%	65%	0%	29%	94%	3%	79%	5%	12%

(Asked of Democratic primary voters) I know she isn't running for president, but how would you feel if Kamala Harris were the Democratic nominee for president?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Enthusiastic	26%	22%	28%	18%	30%	33%	21%	22%	24%	39%	36%	28%	25%	23%	21%	33%	30%	25%	19%	29%	31%	22%	25%	33%	19%	23%	29%	37%	19%	25%	24%	32%	25%	33%	37%	16%	28%	14%	29%	18%	13%
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic	41%	47%	38%	36%	45%	43%	43%	45%	50%	24%	21%	41%	41%	45%	45%	35%	37%	36%	50%	43%	33%	42%	39%	43%	36%	50%	39%	39%	44%	41%	34%	42%	50%	42%	0%	40%	44%	6%	40%	20%	54%
Dissatisfied, but not upset	22%	23%	22%	35%	19%	10%	27%	22%	24%	18%	27%	20%	24%	19%	25%	23%	23%	30%	19%	19%	23%	31%	22%	13%	32%	19%	20%	15%	21%	23%	28%	19%	17%	19%	0%	31%	20%	45%	25%	15%	10%
Upset	5%	5%	6%	5%	5%	9%	3%	5%	0%	9%	16%	8%	3%	7%	2%	9%	4%	<1%	8%	5%	6%	3%	6%	6%	5%	5%	5%	9%	16%	5%	5%	4%	7%	4%	63%	7%	3%	35%	3%	47%	5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	3%	6%	6%	1%	4%	6%	6%	1%	9%	0%	4%	6%	5%	7%	<1%	5%	8%	3%	3%	6%	2%	7%	4%	7%	3%	6%	0%	0%	5%	8%	3%	<1%	3%	0%	6%	5%	0%	3%	0%	17%
Number of respondents	296	106	187	41	65	83	98	172	59	37	23	172	123	108	63	61	58	62	61	107	66	76	124	96	56	113	91	29	16	266	83	77	114	186	2	90	271	14	232	18	33
Percent of total electorate	100%	37%	62%	18%	24%	25%	30%	55%	21%	14%	9%	50%	50%	31%	24%	18%	25%	19%	24%	34%	23%	27%	47%	27%	20%	33%	34%	11%	4%	91%	30%	27%	37%	65%	0%	29%	94%	3%	79%	5%	12%

(SPLIT B) Thinking about the investigations into Donald Trump, do you think that Donald Trump has or has not committed any serious federal crimes?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Trump has committed serious federal crimes	51%	46%	56%	72%	53%	46%	48%	47%	70%	60%	46%	66%	43%	62%	38%	77%	53%	50%	53%	49%	53%	61%	54%	41%	60%	45%	56%	50%	30%	55%	44%	54%	54%	86%	13%	55%	85%	17%	88%	9%	59%
Trump has not committed serious federal crimes	35%	39%	32%	19%	27%	42%	42%	42%	11%	24%	31%	27%	39%	32%	48%	13%	25%	41%	31%	39%	29%	25%	30%	47%	33%	47%	22%	28%	63%	30%	39%	37%	32%	6%	74%	28%	6%	67%	4%	74%	26%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	14%	15%	12%	10%	20%	12%	10%	11%	19%	15%	24%	7%	17%	6%	14%	10%	22%	9%	16%	12%	18%	14%	15%	13%	8%	9%	22%	22%	7%	15%	18%	8%	14%	7%	13%	17%	9%	16%	8%	18%	15%
Number of respondents	671	326	335	64	144	221	214	485	42	78	49	283	383	218	263	55	113	157	118	237	159	117	270	284	127	324	155	44	158	474	166	180	260	118	285	223	197	433	179	364	92
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	14%	24%	31%	26%	65%	9%	15%	9%	36%	64%	26%	39%	9%	24%	22%	19%	33%	26%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	30%	8%	15%	80%	30%	27%	33%	29%	27%	35%	47%	45%	40%	37%	18%

(SPLIT B) (If not serious crimes) Regardless of whether you think Donald Trump committed serious federal crimes, do you think that Donald Trump did something wrong in his handling of classified documents, or do you think Donald Trump did not do anything wrong?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
He did something wrong	6%	8%	4%	3%	7%	6%	7%	8%	2%	2%	<1%	6%	5%	8%	7%	2%	2%	4%	11%	5%	4%	6%	6%	5%	4%	6%	7%	3%	7%	5%	5%	8%	6%	2%	13%	4%	2%	10%	2%	11%	5%
He did not do anything wrong	27%	28%	26%	13%	18%	35%	33%	32%	3%	22%	26%	18%	32%	21%	39%	8%	21%	33%	19%	32%	22%	19%	21%	40%	26%	37%	14%	25%	52%	23%	33%	28%	23%	3%	57%	23%	3%	53%	2%	59%	19%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	<.5%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	0%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	<1%	0%	4%	2%	1%	1%	3%	<.5%	5%	1%	<.5%	4%	0%	4%	2%
[PREVIOUSLY] Trump has committed serious federal crimes	51%	46%	56%	72%	53%	46%	48%	47%	70%	60%	46%	66%	43%	62%	38%	77%	53%	50%	53%	49%	53%	61%	54%	41%	60%	45%	56%	50%	30%	55%	44%	54%	54%	86%	13%	55%	85%	17%	88%	9%	59%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused	14%	15%	12%	10%	20%	12%	10%	11%	19%	15%	24%	7%	17%	6%	14%	10%	22%	9%	16%	12%	18%	14%	15%	13%	8%	9%	22%	22%	7%	15%	18%	8%	14%	7%	13%	17%	9%	16%	8%	18%	15%
Number of respondents	671	326	335	64	144	221	214	485	42	78	49	283	383	218	263	55	113	157	118	237	159	117	270	284	127	324	155	44	158	474	166	180	260	118	285	223	197	433	179	364	92
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	14%	24%	31%	26%	65%	9%	15%	9%	36%	64%	26%	39%	9%	24%	22%	19%	33%	26%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	30%	8%	15%	80%	30%	27%	33%	29%	27%	35%	47%	45%	40%	37%	18%

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal or always illegal?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Always legal	31%	26%	36%	41%	37%	30%	24%	30%	47%	25%	38%	38%	27%	36%	25%	42%	32%	33%	29%	27%	38%	38%	29%	31%	25%	24%	46%	33%	11%	35%	30%	28%	36%	55%	11%	29%	49%	13%	50%	9%	36%
Mostly legal	30%	30%	30%	28%	28%	32%	31%	31%	27%	37%	18%	33%	28%	34%	29%	32%	27%	27%	34%	28%	32%	33%	32%	25%	30%	25%	37%	32%	20%	33%	28%	30%	33%	32%	25%	34%	35%	26%	32%	27%	29%
Mostly illegal	19%	23%	16%	19%	19%	20%	20%	20%	14%	16%	26%	15%	22%	19%	22%	7%	24%	21%	17%	23%	13%	13%	21%	21%	25%	24%	10%	20%	33%	17%	20%	22%	18%	7%	31%	20%	8%	32%	8%	31%	18%
Always illegal	12%	12%	13%	10%	10%	11%	15%	12%	5%	20%	8%	9%	15%	7%	15%	11%	13%	11%	12%	16%	8%	12%	10%	15%	14%	19%	3%	10%	30%	8%	17%	11%	8%	4%	26%	11%	4%	22%	4%	24%	10%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	9%	5%	2%	6%	7%	9%	7%	7%	2%	10%	5%	8%	4%	9%	8%	4%	7%	7%	6%	8%	4%	8%	8%	5%	8%	5%	5%	7%	6%	5%	8%	6%	3%	7%	7%	5%	7%	6%	9%	7%
NET legal	61%	56%	66%	69%	65%	62%	55%	61%	74%	62%	56%	71%	55%	70%	54%	74%	59%	60%	63%	55%	70%	71%	61%	56%	55%	49%	83%	65%	31%	68%	58%	58%	69%	87%	36%	63%	84%	39%	82%	36%	65%
NET illegal	32%	35%	29%	29%	29%	31%	36%	32%	19%	36%	34%	24%	37%	26%	37%	18%	37%	32%	30%	39%	21%	25%	32%	36%	39%	43%	12%	30%	62%	26%	37%	34%	25%	11%	57%	30%	11%	54%	12%	55%	28%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

For each of the following items, tell me whether you support or oppose the policy.
(SPLIT A) A state law banning abortions after six weeks of pregnancy
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	20%	23%	18%	29%	19%	15%	21%	22%	13%	24%	13%	18%	22%	17%	26%	19%	16%	19%	18%	23%	18%	11%	22%	24%	28%	26%	10%	12%	36%	18%	16%	22%	19%	6%	42%	19%	6%	37%	5%	36%	27%
Somewhat support	16%	16%	16%	6%	15%	26%	10%	17%	14%	18%	14%	13%	18%	15%	18%	12%	18%	17%	26%	12%	10%	16%	18%	13%	19%	18%	12%	11%	22%	15%	19%	17%	15%	11%	19%	18%	9%	22%	8%	26%	14%
Somewhat oppose	15%	18%	12%	22%	5%	16%	16%	12%	26%	11%	27%	16%	14%	11%	13%	26%	16%	12%	14%	17%	16%	16%	14%	14%	12%	17%	15%	9%	16%	15%	19%	13%	13%	10%	13%	16%	12%	15%	14%	15%	18%
Strongly oppose	42%	36%	48%	36%	55%	39%	41%	45%	40%	33%	40%	49%	37%	55%	37%	37%	37%	45%	30%	45%	49%	52%	38%	41%	37%	32%	52%	65%	19%	46%	42%	39%	47%	65%	21%	42%	67%	20%	68%	20%	32%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	3%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	7%	7%	6%	6%	3%	4%	12%	5%	7%	14%	6%	4%	8%	2%	6%	6%	12%	7%	11%	4%	7%	5%	7%	8%	4%	7%	9%	3%	6%	6%	3%	7%	7%	9%	4%	5%	6%	5%	5%	4%	7%
NET support	36%	39%	34%	36%	34%	41%	31%	38%	27%	42%	27%	31%	40%	32%	43%	30%	34%	36%	44%	35%	28%	26%	40%	37%	47%	44%	22%	23%	59%	33%	36%	39%	34%	16%	62%	37%	15%	59%	13%	62%	41%
NET oppose	57%	54%	60%	58%	60%	55%	57%	57%	65%	44%	67%	65%	51%	66%	51%	63%	54%	56%	43%	61%	64%	69%	52%	55%	48%	49%	67%	74%	35%	61%	61%	52%	60%	75%	34%	58%	79%	35%	81%	35%	49%
Number of respondents	658	315	335	63	139	222	214	476	50	64	46	313	344	217	258	83	77	141	128	249	140	119	262	277	143	314	138	49	144	476	158	192	231	116	277	203	194	408	182	355	88
Percent of total electorate	100%	48%	50%	15%	23%	31%	27%	66%	11%	11%	8%	42%	58%	27%	39%	14%	18%	21%	22%	37%	20%	23%	43%	34%	21%	40%	28%	9%	17%	77%	29%	27%	36%	29%	26%	32%	45%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(SPLIT B) A federal law banning abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	22%	22%	22%	12%	18%	31%	21%	25%	7%	22%	17%	19%	24%	20%	27%	15%	17%	24%	14%	26%	21%	19%	19%	27%	29%	30%	8%	22%	40%	19%	25%	24%	21%	9%	49%	15%	8%	38%	7%	40%	18%
Somewhat support	16%	18%	15%	23%	16%	19%	13%	16%	12%	22%	13%	17%	16%	20%	14%	10%	20%	17%	15%	18%	14%	21%	14%	16%	14%	18%	19%	5%	14%	17%	17%	19%	17%	18%	12%	18%	16%	18%	14%	15%	24%
Somewhat oppose	14%	12%	16%	21%	18%	15%	9%	12%	30%	12%	23%	14%	15%	10%	13%	25%	18%	7%	12%	14%	21%	15%	16%	11%	18%	10%	19%	10%	5%	16%	12%	13%	17%	15%	6%	19%	17%	11%	16%	11%	17%
Strongly oppose	39%	37%	41%	38%	39%	29%	50%	40%	31%	40%	36%	44%	36%	44%	38%	43%	34%	43%	49%	34%	34%	37%	42%	36%	34%	33%	45%	45%	30%	41%	38%	33%	41%	48%	27%	45%	51%	27%	56%	23%	33%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	9%	11%	6%	6%	10%	7%	8%	7%	19%	4%	11%	6%	10%	6%	9%	7%	11%	9%	10%	7%	9%	8%	9%	9%	4%	8%	8%	18%	10%	7%	9%	11%	3%	9%	7%	4%	8%	6%	7%	11%	9%
NET support	38%	40%	37%	35%	33%	49%	33%	41%	19%	45%	30%	36%	40%	41%	41%	25%	37%	41%	29%	45%	35%	40%	33%	44%	43%	48%	28%	27%	54%	36%	42%	43%	39%	27%	60%	32%	24%	56%	21%	55%	42%
NET oppose	53%	49%	57%	59%	57%	44%	59%	52%	62%	51%	59%	58%	50%	54%	50%	68%	52%	50%	61%	48%	55%	52%	58%	48%	52%	44%	64%	55%	35%	57%	50%	46%	58%	64%	33%	64%	68%	38%	72%	34%	50%
Number of respondents	671	326	335	64	144	221	214	485	42	78	49	283	383	218	263	55	113	157	118	237	159	117	270	284	127	324	155	44	158	474	166	180	260	118	285	223	197	433	179	364	92
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	14%	24%	31%	26%	65%	9%	15%	9%	36%	64%	26%	39%	9%	24%	22%	19%	33%	26%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	30%	8%	15%	80%	30%	27%	33%	29%	27%	35%	47%	45%	40%	37%	18%

Allowing gay and lesbian people to marry
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	51%	44%	57%	65%	64%	46%	38%	52%	50%	44%	55%	60%	44%	64%	43%	52%	47%	48%	58%	43%	57%	59%	52%	43%	46%	37%	70%	57%	21%	57%	44%	53%	58%	70%	25%	57%	71%	31%	74%	28%	46%
Somewhat support	20%	23%	17%	16%	15%	23%	24%	19%	22%	25%	15%	19%	20%	18%	20%	24%	20%	20%	19%	22%	18%	17%	21%	21%	23%	22%	19%	8%	22%	19%	21%	20%	20%	15%	23%	22%	17%	24%	14%	25%	22%
Somewhat oppose	6%	7%	6%	6%	5%	7%	8%	7%	8%	2%	11%	7%	6%	6%	7%	10%	5%	8%	5%	7%	6%	4%	7%	7%	7%	9%	1%	14%	13%	5%	6%	6%	7%	4%	11%	4%	3%	11%	5%	10%	3%
Strongly oppose	15%	18%	13%	9%	9%	15%	22%	15%	13%	19%	11%	9%	19%	7%	20%	11%	17%	16%	11%	20%	11%	10%	13%	21%	17%	23%	4%	12%	35%	11%	23%	14%	8%	8%	32%	9%	6%	26%	5%	27%	16%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	9%	7%	5%	8%	9%	8%	7%	7%	10%	8%	5%	10%	5%	9%	3%	12%	9%	7%	8%	8%	10%	7%	8%	8%	9%	5%	10%	10%	7%	6%	9%	8%	3%	8%	8%	3%	9%	3%	10%	13%
NET support	70%	67%	74%	81%	78%	69%	62%	71%	72%	69%	69%	79%	65%	82%	63%	76%	67%	68%	77%	65%	74%	76%	73%	63%	69%	59%	89%	65%	43%	77%	65%	72%	77%	85%	49%	79%	88%	54%	87%	53%	69%
NET oppose	22%	25%	19%	14%	14%	22%	30%	22%	21%	21%	22%	16%	25%	13%	27%	21%	21%	23%	15%	27%	17%	14%	20%	29%	23%	31%	5%	25%	47%	16%	29%	19%	15%	12%	43%	13%	9%	36%	10%	37%	19%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Providing additional economic and military support to Ukraine
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	28%	28%	28%	18%	19%	28%	42%	29%	23%	31%	22%	34%	24%	36%	25%	31%	23%	29%	28%	25%	32%	27%	29%	28%	30%	24%	32%	24%	15%	30%	27%	26%	31%	45%	18%	27%	43%	15%	47%	11%	18%
Somewhat support	29%	27%	30%	35%	32%	28%	26%	31%	24%	24%	28%	31%	27%	34%	29%	25%	25%	32%	26%	30%	25%	31%	26%	30%	25%	29%	28%	38%	34%	27%	28%	28%	29%	30%	29%	28%	30%	28%	29%	27%	32%
Somewhat oppose	15%	15%	15%	27%	13%	15%	10%	13%	28%	11%	15%	12%	16%	12%	14%	12%	21%	11%	17%	14%	17%	15%	15%	14%	15%	16%	15%	10%	15%	15%	13%	17%	15%	12%	15%	17%	11%	18%	13%	17%	14%
Strongly oppose	22%	26%	19%	17%	27%	25%	15%	22%	14%	27%	27%	18%	24%	15%	26%	26%	21%	21%	20%	25%	20%	20%	21%	24%	24%	25%	18%	14%	31%	20%	21%	24%	21%	8%	34%	22%	8%	35%	7%	38%	26%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	<.5%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<.5%	0%	0%	<.5%	1%	0%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	0%	<1%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	6%	4%	8%	5%	8%	5%	6%	5%	11%	6%	8%	4%	8%	3%	6%	6%	10%	7%	9%	6%	5%	8%	8%	3%	6%	4%	7%	14%	4%	6%	9%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	6%	4%	3%	7%	10%
NET support	57%	55%	58%	52%	51%	55%	68%	60%	47%	55%	50%	65%	51%	70%	53%	56%	48%	62%	54%	55%	57%	58%	55%	58%	55%	54%	60%	62%	50%	58%	55%	54%	60%	75%	47%	55%	74%	43%	77%	38%	50%
NET oppose	37%	40%	34%	43%	40%	40%	26%	35%	42%	39%	42%	31%	40%	27%	40%	38%	42%	32%	37%	39%	37%	35%	37%	38%	39%	42%	33%	25%	46%	36%	35%	41%	36%	20%	49%	39%	20%	53%	19%	55%	40%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

A comprehensive immigration reform bill that provides a pathway to citizenship for all undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Strongly support	36%	31%	40%	51%	42%	29%	29%	32%	54%	51%	28%	42%	32%	39%	26%	51%	43%	34%	32%	37%	39%	46%	34%	31%	41%	27%	44%	39%	14%	40%	34%	37%	38%	56%	18%	34%	54%	19%	55%	16%	37%
Somewhat support	29%	30%	28%	32%	32%	27%	30%	30%	30%	20%	35%	32%	28%	32%	29%	29%	27%	26%	30%	29%	33%	28%	35%	23%	28%	29%	31%	35%	27%	30%	31%	29%	30%	31%	27%	34%	35%	25%	34%	25%	28%
Somewhat oppose	10%	10%	9%	7%	7%	14%	9%	10%	6%	11%	13%	8%	11%	8%	11%	8%	11%	14%	7%	11%	6%	6%	9%	13%	7%	13%	10%	3%	15%	9%	9%	11%	9%	6%	13%	9%	5%	14%	5%	13%	13%
Strongly oppose	20%	24%	17%	6%	14%	24%	29%	25%	5%	14%	13%	15%	24%	18%	29%	7%	13%	23%	22%	20%	17%	13%	18%	28%	21%	27%	10%	14%	41%	16%	21%	18%	20%	5%	40%	19%	4%	38%	3%	41%	16%
[VOL] Have not heard of this	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	4%	5%	3%	5%	6%	3%	4%	5%	4%	10%	4%	6%	3%	4%	4%	7%	3%	9%	3%	5%	6%	5%	4%	3%	4%	4%	9%	3%	4%	5%	5%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	5%	7%
NET support	65%	61%	69%	84%	74%	56%	59%	62%	84%	71%	63%	74%	60%	72%	56%	80%	70%	60%	62%	65%	73%	74%	69%	55%	68%	56%	75%	74%	41%	70%	65%	66%	68%	87%	45%	69%	88%	44%	89%	41%	64%
NET oppose	30%	35%	26%	13%	21%	38%	38%	34%	12%	24%	27%	22%	35%	26%	40%	16%	24%	37%	29%	31%	22%	19%	27%	41%	28%	40%	20%	17%	56%	26%	29%	29%	29%	10%	52%	28%	9%	52%	8%	54%	29%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(SPLIT B) What comes closer to your view about Donald Trump's actions after the 2020 election?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
He was just exercising his right to contest the election	39%	44%	34%	30%	34%	44%	41%	45%	16%	29%	31%	27%	45%	31%	54%	16%	29%	36%	31%	44%	41%	27%	35%	51%	33%	50%	30%	31%	71%	33%	40%	44%	37%	8%	74%	36%	8%	72%	2%	83%	32%
He went so far that he threatened American democracy	53%	48%	58%	67%	55%	48%	54%	50%	72%	63%	48%	67%	46%	65%	40%	73%	57%	55%	60%	50%	51%	64%	56%	44%	58%	43%	67%	49%	20%	59%	51%	51%	56%	88%	18%	58%	87%	20%	94%	9%	53%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	8%	8%	7%	3%	11%	8%	4%	5%	12%	8%	21%	6%	8%	4%	6%	11%	13%	9%	9%	7%	8%	9%	9%	5%	9%	7%	4%	21%	9%	8%	9%	5%	7%	4%	8%	7%	5%	8%	4%	8%	16%
Number of respondents	671	326	335	64	144	221	214	485	42	78	49	283	383	218	263	55	113	157	118	237	159	117	270	284	127	324	155	44	158	474	166	180	260	118	285	223	197	433	179	364	92
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	52%	14%	24%	31%	26%	65%	9%	15%	9%	36%	64%	26%	39%	9%	24%	22%	19%	33%	26%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	30%	8%	15%	80%	30%	27%	33%	29%	27%	35%	47%	45%	40%	37%	18%

(If country is headed in the wrong direction) In a previous question you said you thought things in the U.S. were headed in the wrong direction. Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Our problems are so bad that America is in danger of failing as a nation.	37%	33%	42%	32%	35%	41%	40%	42%	22%	29%	33%	31%	41%	33%	49%	29%	27%	41%	34%	39%	34%	27%	34%	48%	36%	45%	30%	27%	61%	33%	38%	40%	34%	18%	58%	36%	20%	56%	18%	63%	30%
Our problems are bad, but America is not in danger of failing as a nation anytime soon.	26%	32%	21%	33%	32%	24%	21%	26%	27%	27%	28%	27%	26%	31%	23%	22%	31%	20%	26%	30%	27%	30%	27%	22%	28%	25%	26%	30%	24%	27%	27%	24%	29%	19%	29%	30%	25%	28%	25%	27%	30%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	1%	<1%	1%	0%	1%	<.5%	1%	<1%	5%	<.5%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	3%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<.5%	5%	<1%	1%	2%	<.5%	1%	1%	1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	3%
[PREVIOUSLY] Country is on the right track	23%	24%	21%	22%	20%	24%	25%	19%	28%	33%	25%	25%	21%	25%	16%	28%	30%	26%	27%	19%	20%	25%	24%	19%	22%	18%	28%	32%	6%	26%	20%	23%	25%	46%	7%	19%	39%	8%	40%	4%	23%
[PREVIOUSLY] Don't know/Refused	13%	11%	14%	12%	12%	10%	13%	11%	18%	10%	12%	15%	11%	11%	11%	19%	10%	12%	11%	10%	18%	15%	14%	9%	12%	11%	16%	6%	8%	13%	12%	12%	11%	16%	4%	15%	15%	7%	16%	5%	14%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Now just a few questions for demographic purposes ... Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	13%	10%	16%	22%	12%	15%	8%	<.5%	0%	100%	0%	9%	16%	<.5%	<.5%	30%	46%	3%	12%	14%	22%	23%	15%	5%	22%	8%	16%	11%	0%	16%	18%	14%	8%	20%	10%	11%	17%	9%	12%	8%	25%
No	85%	89%	83%	77%	86%	85%	91%	99%	100%	<.5%	100%	90%	83%	100%	99%	70%	54%	96%	86%	85%	76%	76%	83%	95%	77%	91%	83%	88%	99%	84%	81%	84%	92%	80%	89%	86%	82%	89%	87%	91%	73%
[VOL] Refused	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	2%	<.5%	0%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%	<1%	1%	2%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Would you consider yourself:
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
White	70%	71%	71%	49%	69%	74%	83%	98%	0%	46%	0%	69%	71%	98%	98%	12%	23%	83%	67%	67%	67%	59%	64%	86%	76%	71%	69%	60%	98%	67%	68%	75%	70%	63%	83%	71%	65%	79%	65%	83%	61%
Black or African American	12%	10%	13%	24%	9%	10%	8%	0%	100%	10%	0%	13%	11%	0%	0%	45%	32%	4%	15%	20%	3%	17%	14%	5%	5%	15%	11%	11%	0%	14%	14%	9%	13%	19%	3%	11%	18%	5%	20%	3%	13%
Asian or Asian American	4%	5%	3%	10%	6%	3%	<1%	0%	0%	<.5%	46%	5%	3%	0%	0%	17%	10%	4%	4%	3%	6%	3%	8%	<.5%	2%	1%	6%	15%	0%	5%	6%	2%	3%	3%	2%	5%	4%	2%	5%	2%	5%
Native American	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	<1%	0%	0%	2%	23%	2%	3%	0%	0%	6%	7%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	3%	0%	3%	1%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	1%	3%	<1%	3%	3%
[VOL] Some other race (specify)	5%	5%	4%	4%	5%	6%	3%	2%	<.5%	20%	11%	2%	6%	2%	2%	4%	15%	1%	6%	4%	8%	6%	6%	2%	8%	4%	3%	5%	2%	5%	5%	5%	3%	4%	7%	4%	4%	6%	3%	5%	9%
[VOL] More than one race	3%	2%	3%	4%	4%	2%	1%	0%	0%	7%	20%	4%	2%	0%	0%	14%	5%	3%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	2%	3%	1%	5%	<.5%	0%	3%	2%	3%	3%	4%	<1%	2%	4%	1%	4%	2%	1%
[VOL] Refused	5%	4%	4%	6%	5%	4%	3%	0%	0%	15%	0%	4%	5%	0%	0%	2%	8%	3%	5%	2%	10%	9%	4%	2%	4%	3%	4%	6%	0%	2%	4%	2%	5%	6%	2%	5%	4%	4%	2%	4%	8%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(Recoded to age) In what year were you born?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
18-29	15%	17%	12%	100%	0%	0%	0%	9%	28%	24%	28%	11%	17%	9%	9%	16%	32%	15%	8%	16%	18%	17%	19%	8%	14%	9%	22%	19%	6%	17%	21%	13%	12%	16%	11%	15%	16%	14%	12%	7%	36%
30-44	23%	24%	23%	0%	100%	0%	0%	23%	20%	22%	35%	30%	19%	27%	20%	38%	18%	22%	27%	20%	27%	29%	24%	20%	19%	17%	35%	32%	15%	25%	20%	24%	31%	21%	17%	27%	24%	21%	25%	21%	24%
45-64	31%	32%	31%	0%	0%	100%	0%	32%	27%	35%	23%	31%	31%	35%	31%	26%	31%	30%	33%	34%	26%	31%	27%	36%	29%	37%	26%	29%	37%	30%	23%	31%	39%	30%	35%	31%	28%	35%	30%	37%	21%
65+	27%	25%	29%	0%	0%	0%	100%	33%	18%	16%	10%	23%	29%	27%	36%	14%	15%	30%	30%	26%	22%	16%	28%	32%	34%	35%	14%	15%	38%	25%	32%	31%	17%	31%	33%	23%	29%	27%	31%	31%	11%
Refused	4%	3%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	7%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	3%	6%	4%	2%	3%	4%	8%	8%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%	1%	2%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	8%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate or conservative? [FOLLOW UP: (If liberal or conservative) Is that very or somewhat?]
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Very liberal	11%	7%	15%	15%	17%	7%	7%	10%	14%	15%	15%	15%	9%	14%	7%	18%	13%	12%	9%	11%	13%	18%	9%	9%	8%	6%	19%	18%	1%	13%	12%	11%	12%	26%	<1%	7%	23%	<1%	21%	2%	11%
Somewhat liberal	12%	11%	14%	20%	10%	10%	15%	12%	17%	13%	7%	15%	10%	16%	10%	16%	11%	8%	15%	12%	13%	14%	13%	10%	10%	9%	19%	12%	3%	14%	12%	13%	13%	25%	3%	11%	21%	4%	22%	2%	16%
Moderate	37%	38%	36%	38%	43%	37%	31%	35%	39%	42%	37%	40%	35%	39%	32%	39%	40%	39%	40%	35%	35%	37%	42%	31%	44%	34%	35%	41%	27%	39%	31%	35%	44%	35%	18%	52%	43%	29%	43%	25%	40%
Somewhat conservative	19%	24%	15%	13%	15%	23%	23%	21%	17%	12%	23%	15%	22%	15%	25%	16%	16%	21%	21%	20%	16%	16%	17%	24%	22%	23%	15%	7%	26%	18%	23%	19%	17%	7%	33%	17%	7%	33%	8%	32%	20%
Very conservative	16%	16%	16%	8%	10%	19%	22%	19%	3%	14%	10%	12%	18%	14%	22%	7%	11%	19%	13%	18%	12%	8%	14%	22%	14%	24%	6%	14%	39%	12%	16%	16%	12%	4%	42%	9%	3%	31%	3%	36%	5%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	5%	4%	5%	7%	5%	4%	2%	3%	10%	4%	8%	3%	6%	2%	4%	4%	9%	2%	3%	4%	10%	7%	4%	4%	2%	3%	7%	8%	2%	5%	5%	5%	2%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	8%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Under $25,000	12%	10%	13%	19%	9%	9%	13%	9%	10%	22%	22%	5%	16%	4%	12%	6%	24%	12%	11%	10%	14%	16%	12%	9%	14%	11%	10%	16%	11%	11%	40%	0%	0%	12%	11%	12%	11%	10%	10%	9%	23%
At least $25,000 but under $50,000	18%	17%	19%	24%	16%	13%	23%	17%	26%	19%	13%	9%	23%	7%	24%	15%	23%	23%	15%	16%	17%	20%	16%	19%	20%	15%	20%	19%	16%	19%	60%	0%	0%	20%	19%	13%	18%	17%	14%	19%	26%
At least $50,000 but under $100,000	27%	25%	29%	23%	27%	27%	31%	28%	21%	29%	22%	27%	27%	29%	28%	25%	24%	25%	27%	30%	24%	20%	26%	32%	21%	29%	30%	24%	31%	26%	0%	100%	0%	29%	24%	27%	27%	28%	27%	29%	23%
At least $100,000 but under $200,000	24%	27%	22%	21%	29%	29%	18%	27%	29%	11%	19%	31%	19%	34%	22%	28%	14%	23%	28%	22%	25%	24%	25%	23%	21%	26%	26%	20%	22%	25%	0%	0%	70%	26%	26%	24%	25%	26%	28%	25%	13%
$200,000 or more	10%	14%	7%	6%	16%	14%	4%	9%	10%	9%	18%	20%	4%	19%	3%	22%	5%	6%	12%	12%	10%	9%	12%	8%	14%	10%	8%	13%	9%	10%	0%	0%	30%	8%	9%	13%	11%	10%	13%	10%	7%
[VOL] Refused	9%	8%	9%	7%	3%	8%	12%	9%	5%	10%	6%	8%	10%	7%	10%	4%	9%	11%	7%	10%	10%	10%	9%	9%	10%	9%	7%	8%	11%	8%	0%	0%	0%	5%	11%	11%	8%	9%	8%	9%	8%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Catholic	20%	23%	19%	19%	17%	19%	25%	20%	10%	33%	16%	19%	21%	21%	20%	16%	24%	21%	32%	14%	18%	21%	24%	15%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	26%	24%	16%	20%	22%	22%	21%	21%	20%	19%	23%	20%
Protestant (Christian)	31%	28%	33%	18%	22%	33%	45%	33%	39%	20%	24%	33%	30%	31%	34%	36%	23%	37%	28%	36%	20%	21%	30%	39%	0%	77%	0%	0%	75%	21%	27%	33%	33%	25%	44%	27%	25%	41%	25%	41%	21%
Mormon (LDS)	2%	2%	2%	<.5%	4%	3%	<1%	3%	0%	<1%	0%	2%	2%	2%	3%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	0%	2%	6%	3%	1%	3%	0%	0%	0%	25%	3%	2%	<1%	2%	4%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	<.5%
Jewish	2%	3%	2%	4%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	<.5%	3%	1%	5%	1%	<.5%	2%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	24%	0%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	<1%	3%	<1%	2%
Muslim	1%	2%	<1%	3%	<1%	<.5%	0%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	<.5%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	<.5%	0%	2%	2%	<.5%	0%	0%	0%	13%	0%	1%	3%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	<.5%	<.5%	2%	0%	1%	3%
[VOL] Christian (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)	9%	6%	12%	8%	7%	15%	7%	10%	15%	5%	6%	7%	11%	7%	12%	7%	9%	8%	4%	16%	5%	7%	6%	15%	0%	23%	0%	0%	21%	7%	9%	10%	9%	11%	10%	8%	8%	11%	8%	10%	13%
[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	0%	<.5%	1%	<.5%	0%	<.5%	<1%	0%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	5%	0%	<.5%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<1%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	<.5%	1%
Some other religion (specify)	3%	3%	2%	3%	6%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	16%	3%	3%	<.5%	2%	9%	4%	3%	1%	3%	4%	4%	3%	<1%	0%	0%	0%	32%	<.5%	3%	4%	4%	1%	4%	<.5%	3%	5%	<1%	4%	2%	<1%
No religious affiliation	29%	31%	27%	43%	43%	24%	15%	27%	27%	35%	35%	30%	28%	31%	25%	27%	35%	25%	26%	24%	42%	36%	29%	24%	0%	0%	100%	0%	<.5%	36%	29%	32%	28%	32%	15%	34%	35%	19%	36%	17%	36%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	2%	3%	0%	<.5%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	<.5%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	<.5%	2%	1%	<1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	23%	20%	26%	11%	15%	30%	28%	24%	28%	17%	18%	20%	25%	19%	28%	24%	19%	26%	13%	33%	14%	16%	17%	35%	0%	56%	<.5%	9%	100%	9%	23%	25%	21%	14%	38%	18%	13%	36%	14%	35%	15%
No	21%	19%	22%	20%	20%	21%	24%	22%	26%	7%	30%	24%	18%	24%	20%	24%	17%	20%	20%	20%	23%	18%	22%	21%	<.5%	38%	5%	45%	0%	26%	15%	23%	26%	22%	18%	22%	23%	19%	24%	19%	19%
[VOL] Refused	3%	3%	4%	2%	5%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%	5%	4%	2%	3%	<1%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	0%	6%	<.5%	10%	0%	0%	5%	3%	3%	6%	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	5%
[PREVIOUSLY] Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, no religious affiliation or refused	53%	58%	48%	67%	60%	46%	45%	51%	44%	73%	49%	54%	52%	56%	47%	48%	62%	50%	66%	43%	60%	62%	57%	42%	100%	0%	95%	36%	0%	66%	57%	49%	51%	58%	41%	58%	59%	43%	58%	43%	61%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Who did you vote for in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, or did you not vote?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Donald Trump	37%	41%	33%	19%	33%	43%	43%	45%	7%	22%	32%	29%	41%	34%	53%	20%	20%	37%	36%	38%	34%	21%	36%	48%	41%	47%	21%	33%	69%	31%	35%	39%	36%	5%	82%	31%	5%	73%	0%	100%	0%
Joe Biden	41%	34%	47%	32%	43%	39%	48%	36%	72%	39%	45%	54%	32%	51%	26%	64%	45%	40%	46%	38%	41%	51%	43%	30%	38%	34%	51%	46%	13%	46%	32%	41%	49%	77%	6%	41%	74%	8%	100%	0%	0%
I did not vote	17%	19%	16%	43%	18%	12%	7%	14%	17%	34%	18%	11%	22%	9%	18%	15%	29%	18%	15%	19%	18%	19%	18%	16%	17%	15%	22%	16%	12%	18%	29%	15%	10%	15%	8%	21%	17%	15%	0%	0%	100%
[VOL] Someone else	2%	3%	1%	3%	3%	2%	<.5%	3%	0%	1%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	<.5%	2%	4%	1%	1%	3%	2%	<1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	1%	4%	2%	<.5%	1%	2%	<1%	3%	0%	0%	0%
[VOL] Don't know/Refused	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	4%	4%	6%	3%	2%	3%	2%	4%	<1%	2%	3%	3%	<1%	3%	2%	2%	5%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

The Siena College Research Institute will guarantee your anonymity, [an-a-nim-a-tee] however: If you would be open to commenting on the issues in this survey, would you like to be contacted by a reporter?
	All	Gender		Age				Race/Ethnicity				Education		Race/Education				Region				City Type			Religion				White + Evangelical		Income			Party ID			Party + Leaners		2020 Vote
	All	Men	Women	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	White	Black	Hispanic	Oth.	B.A.+	No B.A.	White, college	White, no college	Non-white, college	Non-white, no college	Midwest	North-East	South	West	City	Suburb	Rural	Catholic	Prot.	None	Oth.	Yes	No	Under $50k	$50-100k	Over $100k	Dem.	Rep.	Ind.	Dem.	Rep.	Biden	Trump	Did not vote
Yes	25%	28%	21%	10%	30%	29%	23%	24%	44%	20%	20%	29%	22%	29%	21%	31%	26%	20%	27%	29%	21%	26%	25%	23%	18%	27%	27%	28%	20%	26%	25%	26%	27%	23%	26%	26%	26%	24%	29%	25%	15%
No	75%	72%	79%	90%	70%	71%	77%	76%	56%	80%	80%	71%	78%	71%	79%	69%	74%	80%	73%	71%	79%	74%	75%	77%	82%	73%	73%	72%	80%	74%	75%	74%	73%	77%	74%	74%	74%	76%	71%	75%	85%
Number of respondents	1,329	641	670	127	283	443	428	961	92	142	95	596	727	435	521	138	190	298	246	486	299	236	532	561	270	638	293	93	302	950	324	372	491	234	562	426	391	841	361	719	180
Percent of total electorate	100%	47%	51%	15%	23%	31%	27%	65%	10%	13%	9%	39%	61%	26%	39%	11%	21%	21%	20%	35%	23%	23%	43%	34%	20%	40%	29%	8%	16%	78%	29%	27%	34%	29%	27%	34%	46%	45%	41%	37%	17%

Party ID is self-identified party, without leaners; independents only include self-identified independents.

Methodology

The New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,329 registered voters nationwide, including an oversample of 818 registered Republican voters, was conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from July 23-27, 2023. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.67 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 3.96 percentage points for the likely Republican primary electorate.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for the oversample of registered Republican voters, differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

First, the voter file was split by whether the registrant was classified as Republican or not a Republican; sample selection for the Republican and non-Republican samples was performed separately. The definition of a Republican registrant varied by state, depending on the availability of data on partisanship on the voter file. Party registration was used in states with party registration. In states without party registration, participation in recent partisan primaries was used to classify voters. In states without party registration or partisan primary vote history, party classification was based on a model of vote choice in prior Times/Siena polls.

Second, records were selected by state. To adjust for noncoverage bias, the L2 voter file was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and home ownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate, based on prior Times/Siena polls, were calculated for each stratum. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a stratum’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Third, state records were selected for the national sample. The number of records selected by state was equal to the reciprocal of the mean expected response rate of the state’s records, multiplied by the state’s share of registered Republican or non-Republican voters nationwide, divided by the national sum of the weights.

Fielding

The Republican and non-Republican samples were stratified by party, race and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida and the Institute of Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 77 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents, in either the Hispanic or non-Hispanic samples, who were initially contacted by English-speaking interviewers were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 14 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish, including 9 percent of the registered Republican sample and 19 percent of non-Republicans.

Weighting — registered voters

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps to account for the oversample of Republican voters.

First, the Republican and non-Republican samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the Republican and non-Republican samples were weighted separately to match voter file-based parameters for the characteristics of Republican and non-Republican voters. The Republican and non-Republican samples were also weighted to match targets for the self-reported educational attainment of Republican and non-Republican voters, based on previous Times/Siena polls.

The following targets were used to weight the Republican and non-Republican samples:

• Party, among non-Republican voters (aforementioned partisan classifications)

• Age (Self-reported age, or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Gender (L2 data)

• Race or ethnicity (L2 model)

• Education (four categories of self-reported education, weighted to match NYT-based targets derived from Times/Siena polls, census data and the L2 voter file)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Home ownership (L2 model)

• Metropolitan area (2013 National Center for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties)

• Region (Census Bureau definition, except Maryland, Delaware and Washington, D.C., reclassified as Northeast)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Census block group density (A.C.S. 5-Year Census Block Group data)

• Home value (L2 data), among Republican registrants.

Finally, the two samples were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of Republicans.

Weighting — likely Republican primary electorate

The survey was separately weighted in multiple steps to match targets for the composition of the likely Republican primary electorate and to account for the self-reported turnout intention of respondents.

First, the Republican and non-Republican samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by stratum.

Second, the first-stage weight was adjusted to account for the probability that a registrant would participate in the 2024 Republican primary, based on a model of turnout in contested Republican primaries. Separate models were fit for closed, semi-closed and open primaries. The probability that ineligible registrants — like a registered Democrat in a closed primary state — would participate in the 2024 primary was based on an analysis of Times/Siena polling from October 2019 and L2 voter file data, which found that 2 percent of ineligible registrants ultimately participated in the 2020 Democratic primary, including 10 percent of Republican registrants who identified as a Democrat at the time of the poll.

Third, the Republican and non-Republican samples were weighted separately to match targets for the composition of the likely Republican electorate. The targets for the composition of the likely electorate were derived by aggregating the individual-level turnout estimates described in the previous step for registrants on the L2 voter file. The categories used in weighting were the same as those previously mentioned for registered voters.

Fourth, potential Republican primary voters were assigned a probability of voting based on their self-reported intention to vote. Voters were considered potential Republican primary voters if one of three conditions were met:

• They identified as Republican or leaned Republican on two questions about party identification.

• They were registered as a Republican in a closed or semi-closed primary state where they were only eligible to participate in the Republican primary.

• They said they would "probably" vote in the Republican primary on a question asking if they were likely to vote in the Republican primary or the Democratic primary, or probably wouldn't vote in a primary.

If a voter did not meet any of these criteria, they were assigned zero probability of voting in the Republican primary. If they met at least one of these criteria, they received a probability of voting based on the relationship between self-reported turnout intention and validated vote in a post-election analysis of Times/Siena data from the 2018 and 2022 midterm elections. Potential Republican primary voters who said they were "unlikely" to vote or likelier to vote in the Democratic primary were assigned a probability of voting based on the Times/Siena polling conducted in October 2019.

Fifth, the initial likely voter weight was adjusted to incorporate self-reported vote intention. The final probability that a registrant would participate in the Republican primary was two-thirds based on their ex ante modeled turnout score and one-third based on their self-reported intention, based on prior Times/Siena polls, including a penalty to account for the tendency of survey respondents to turn out at higher rates than non-respondents. The final likely electorate weight was equal to the modeled electorate rake weight, multiplied by the final turnout probability and divided by the ex ante modeled turnout probability.

Finally, the two samples were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of Republicans.

The margin of error accounts for the survey’s design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample of registered voters is 1.86, with design effects of 1.26 and 1.28 for the two separately weighted samples of Republicans and non-Republicans, respectively. The design effect for the likely Republican electorate is 1.52, which includes the added variance due to incorporating the probability that a respondent will participate in the Republican primary.

Composition of the Sample

Group	Unweighted Includes Oversample	Weighted All R.V.s	N All R.V.s
Gender
Men	48%	47%	641
Women	50	51	670
Age
18 to 29	10	15	127
30 to 44	21	23	283
45 to 64	33	31	443
65 and older	32	27	428
Education
High school	17	30	227
Some college	38	31	500
College	25	24	326
Post-graduate	20	15	270
Home Ownership (L2 Model)
Likely renter	23	26	306
Likely homeowner	51	47	681
Unknown	26	27	342
Marital Status (L2 Model)
Married	45	35	597
Nontraditional	6	8	80
Unknown	49	57	652
Party (Self-Reported)
Democrat	18	29	234
Republican	42	27	562
Independent	32	34	426
Party (Based on L2 Data)
Democrat	18	34	237
Republican	62	28	818
Other	21	37	274
Race (Self-Reported)
White	72	65	961
Black	7	10	92
Hispanic	11	13	142
Other nonwhite	7	9	95
Race (L2 Model)
White	71	63	938
Hispanic	10	12	134
Black	7	10	87
Asian	2	3	27
Other	3	3	34
Unknown	8	8	109
Census Block Group Density
Less than 50 people per square mile	10	7	136
50 to 500	22	19	290
500 to 2500	28	27	367
2500 to 7,500	28	31	368
More than 7,500	13	17	168
M.S.A. Type
Large central metro	22	28	293
Large fringe metro	27	29	353
Non-metropolitan	17	13	231
Small metro	34	30	452
National Region
Midwest	22	21	298
Northeast	19	20	246
South	37	35	486
West	22	23	299
Turnout History (Based on L2 Data)
Voted in last midterm and in a primary	51	42	679
Voted in last two midterms	20	25	272
Voted in last general, no midterm	10	13	130
Did not vote in last general or midterm	12	14	158
New registrant	7	6	90